North Carolina
W-L: ( 8- 0) PR = 99.9000Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A James Madison AAC ( 4- 4, 89.2) 19-11 213 A Syracuse ACC ( 6- 3, 93.3) 13- 9 220 H Ohio State Big Ten ( 6- 2, 90.5) 22- 9 222 H Louisville ACC ( 4- 5, 85.7) 24- 3 227 H Florida State ACC ( 2- 8, 80.3) 27- 3 304 A Clemson ACC ( 6- 4, 93.5) 12- 9 307 H Pittsburgh ACC ( 4- 5, 89.7) 19- 3 312 A California ACC ( 5- 6, 82.4) 20- 3 317 H Florida Big 12 ( 6- 2, 93.2) 321 H Boston College ACC ( 5- 4, 89.8) 325 H Northwestern Big Ten ( 5- 3, 94.2) 328 H East Carolina AAC ( 3- 4, 81.5) 404 A Virginia ACC ( 5- 5, 90.0) 410 H Stanford ACC ( 9- 0, 95.9) 416 A Duke ACC ( 6- 4, 89.7)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A James Madison 19-11 8 9 -1.37
213 A Syracuse 13- 9 4 5 -1.23
220 H Ohio State 22- 9 13 11 + 2.28
222 H Louisville 24- 3 21 16 0.00
227 H Florida State 27- 3 24 21 0.00
304 A Clemson 12- 9 3 5 - -2.11
307 H Pittsburgh 19- 3 16 12 + 2.42
312 A California 20- 3 17 16 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 A Clemson 12- 9 3 5 - -2.11 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Ohio State 22- 9 13 11 + 2.28 307 H Pittsburgh 19- 3 16 12 + 2.42 |
North Carolina Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Albany | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| American | North Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Carolina | |
| Arizona State | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Army | North Carolina | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | North Carolina | |
| Austin Peay | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Binghamton | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Boston College | North Carolina | tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) | North Carolina | |
| Boston University | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Brown | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Bryant | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Bucknell | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Butler | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| California | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Campbell | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Canisius | North Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Carolina | |
| Central Connecticut | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Central Michigan | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Cincinnati | North Carolina | North Carolina 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Clemson | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Coastal Carolina | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Colgate | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Colorado | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Columbia | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Connecticut | North Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Carolina | |
| Cornell | North Carolina | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | North Carolina | |
| Dartmouth | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Davidson | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Delaware | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Delaware State | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Denver | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Detroit Mercy | North Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Carolina | |
| Drexel | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Duke | North Carolina | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | North Carolina | |
| Duquesne | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| East Carolina | North Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Carolina | |
| Eastern Michigan | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Elon | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Fairfield | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Fairleigh Dickinson | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Florida | North Carolina | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | North Carolina | |
| Florida State | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Furman | North Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Carolina | |
| Gardner Webb | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| George Mason | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| George Washington | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Georgetown | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Harvard | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| High Point | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Hofstra | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Holy Cross | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Howard (DC) | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Iona | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Jacksonville | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| James Madison | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Johns Hopkins | North Carolina | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | North Carolina | |
| Kennesaw State | North Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Carolina | |
| Kent State | North Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Carolina | |
| La Salle | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Lafayette | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Le Moyne | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Lehigh | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Liberty | North Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Carolina | |
| Lindenwood | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| LIU | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Longwood | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Louisville | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Loyola (MD) | North Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Carolina | |
| Manhattan | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Marist | North Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Carolina | |
| Marquette | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Maryland | North Carolina | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | North Carolina | |
| Massachusetts | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Massachusetts-Lowell | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Mercer | North Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Carolina | |
| Mercyhurst | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Merrimack | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Michigan | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Monmouth (NJ) | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Mount St Marys | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Navy | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| New Hampshire | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| New Haven | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Niagara | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Northwestern | North Carolina | North Carolina 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Notre Dame | North Carolina | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | North Carolina | |
| Ohio State | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Old Dominion | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Oregon | North Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Carolina | |
| Penn | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Penn State | North Carolina | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | North Carolina | |
| Pittsburgh | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Presbyterian | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Princeton | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Queens | North Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Carolina | |
| Quinnipiac | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Radford | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Rhode Island | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Richmond | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Rider | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Robert Morris | North Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Carolina | |
| Rutgers | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Sacred Heart | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| San Diego State | North Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Carolina | |
| Siena | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| South Florida | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Southern California | North Carolina | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | North Carolina | |
| St Bonaventure | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| St Josephs (PA) | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Stanford | North Carolina | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | North Carolina | |
| Stetson | North Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Carolina | |
| Stonehill | North Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Carolina | |
| Stony Brook | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Syracuse | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Temple | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Towson | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| UC Davis | North Carolina | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | North Carolina | |
| UMBC | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| UNC-Charlotte | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Vanderbilt | North Carolina | North Carolina 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| VCU | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Vermont | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Villanova | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Virginia | North Carolina | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | North Carolina | |
| Virginia Tech | North Carolina | North Carolina 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Wagner | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| William & Mary | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Winthrop | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Wofford | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Xavier | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Yale | North Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Carolina | |
| Youngstown State | North Carolina | North Carolina |
PowerWise = 132
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 8.26
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A James Madison ( 4- 4, 89.2) 19-11 -10.70 29.08 1.33 1.03 62.77
0 A Syracuse ( 6- 3, 93.3) 13- 9 -6.56 33.22 1.33 1.03 71.32
0 H Ohio State ( 6- 2, 90.5) 22- 9 -9.38 30.40 -1.33 1.03 59.99
0 H Louisville ( 4- 5, 85.7) 24- 3 -14.24 25.55 -1.33 1.03 49.97
0 H Florida State ( 2- 8, 80.3) 27- 3 -19.56 20.22 -1.33 1.03 38.98
0 A Clemson ( 6- 4, 93.5) 12- 9 -6.44 33.35 1.33 1.03 71.57
0 H Pittsburgh ( 4- 5, 89.7) 19- 3 -10.25 29.54 -1.33 1.03 58.21
0 A California ( 5- 6, 82.4) 20- 3 -17.45 22.33 1.33 1.03 48.83
------
461.66
|
winning pts = 461.6589 losing points = 0.0000
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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